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CURVE

    
Here is the latest edition of Curve, our Debt Market Update, a focused update crafted to keep you abreast of critical movements in the debt markets.

In this issue, we cover:


  • Market Moves: India's 10-year G-sec yield rose 6 bps to 6.83%, tracking higher global yields amid uncertainty over Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index inclusion, rising crude oil prices and geopolitical tensions. The INR closed at 95.37 vs 96.22 a fortnight ago.
  • Global Bond Yields Climbed: The US 10-year Treasury yield rose 20 bps to 4.75%, while UK gilt and German bond yield also increased on persistent inflation concerns and higher-for-longer central bank expectations. China remained the outlier, with 10-year yields easing on weak growth and expectations of continued policy support.
  • Macro Indicators: Inflation continued to rise, with CPI reaching 4.38% in Jun’26, while the trade deficit widened by approximately $2 bn to $30.43 bn. Liquidity conditions remained positive throughout the fortnight, standing at around ₹2.33 trillion.
  • FPI Highlight: FPIs turned net buyers in equities on an MTD basis supported by resilient domestic macroeconomic fundamentals, optimism with regards to corporate earnings, but remained net sellers on both CYTD and FYTD bases, while debt markets continued to witness inflows during the same period.
  • Segment Highlights:

i.                    Money Market: Short-term rates softened as surplus system liquidity, robust demand and FCNR(B) driven liquidity kept funding conditions comfortable despite global volatility.

ii.                  G-sec yields moved higher, 1-year and 5-year G-secs bucked the trend, reflecting abundant liquidity and investor preference for shorter-duration assets ahead of the RBI policy.

iii.                SDL curve stayed mixed: 5-year SDL yields softened on healthy demand, whereas 10-year SDL yields inched higher amid global yield pressures and elevated crude prices.

iv.                 Corporate bond market turned cautious: AAA PSU bond yields rose as market participants adopted a wait-and-watch stance. Higher borrowing costs and market volatility led to slower corporate bond issuances.

  • Product Snapshot: Covers category performance benchmarks and our full range of active and passive fixed income products.

 


CURVE reflects our continued commitment to provide relevant debt market updates. 


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